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-------------------------------------------------------------------------- The King of Jordan's problem will be coolants, a "peak water" issue to the region. Regards, Lorne Hammond Royal British Columbia Museum Victoria, British Columbia ----- Original Message ----- From: "H-Energy [Nemeth]" <nemeth@MAIL.H-NET.MSU.EDU> Sent: Saturday, October 17, 2009 1:47 AM Subject: crude oil 104 and Nuclear Plants [Smith] > Subject: crude oil 104 and Nuclear Plants > From: Lewis L. Smith [MMBTUPR@aol.com] > Date: Sat, 17 October 2009, 10:45 am (CET) > -------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Jordan will build a nuclear-steam generating plant, despite its proximity > to Saudi Arabia. See > > > http://www.power-technology.com/news/news64301.html?mxmroi=6066531/2129656/false > > So if you think like ExxonMobil, that peak oil is coming after 2030, think > again. The King of Jordan does not agree with you ! > > ============================ > > On hearing this news, some people have commented, "Why not nuclear power > for Puerto Rico ?" [or "Country X"] . > > Well maybe so, but most countries contemplating the construction of a > nuclear plant should begin by thinking about how they are going to deal > with the > following problems > > > [1] The people who build these plants still haven't learned how to > control their costs, although they are doing much better. > > In the 1970's, cost overruns at completion were frequently 200-300% of the > original budget approved by a board of directors ! Nowadays overruns are > on > the order of only 20-30%. But that is still too much for Puerto Rico [and > many other jurisdictions] . > > And what if construction of the plant falls behind schedule ? Where will > one obtain the power which it was supposed to supply from the promised > date > on line ? From a neighboring utility or from existing units which burn > petrofuels ? Remember that we are talking about big stations, with a gross > generating capacity of 600-1,000 mW at least. > > [This will, of course, be a problem for Jordan as well. However, Jordan > has a shot at Qatar electricity or Saudi oil, if things go awry with its > nuclear plant. But how about your utility ?] > > [2] Aside from Jordan and a few other countries with lots of desert, > most countries cannot consider long-term storage, in Yucca Flats or > anywhere else. Yet too little spare capacity for reprocessing spent fuel > is currently available in politically reliable countries. In any case, > your jurisdiction would have to "get in line" behind a number of countries > with nuclear projects already under construction. > > [3] The world's supply of uranium will not run out for a long time. > However, within ten years, the industry will have to start exploiting new > ore bodies. These are located in environmentally sensitive and political > difficult jurisdictions such as rural Bolivia. Good luck ! > > Cordially. Lewis L. Smith ### >
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